March 30, 2015
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<br />Alternatives to a Tax Rate Increase
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<br />Spending Cuts
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<br />As I noted early in this message, the alternative to a tax rate increase would be to
<br />reduce funding to the Schools and to cut City services. During the economic downturn
<br />that resulted from the Great Depression, the City repeatedly cut department budgets
<br />without adjusting service levels accordingly. Departments suffered as a result, even
<br />though the impacts of these cuts were not immediately visible to the public. In addition
<br />to cuts to operating budgets, positions were eliminated and left vacant, again without a
<br />corresponding reduction in service levels. These departments cannot perform their
<br />missions without having adequate resources. The impacts of these cuts were tangible,
<br />if not immediately obvious. These cuts affect the City’s bottom line, and show up in
<br />ways that cost us money – increased absenteeism, employee injuries, increased
<br />employee turnover and insufficient work flow.
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<br />In order to “cut” our way out of the deficit, we would have to eliminate services and the
<br />positions that support them. In addition, some General Fund positions are revenue
<br />generating or State supported, such as Constitutional Offices, the Assessor’s office,
<br />Museums, Recreation, and Permits and Inspections. Moreover, half of the 1,252
<br />General Fund positions are in Police and Fire. Positions in Constitutional Offices,
<br />Courts, the Registrar and Assessor’s offices represent 25% of the General Fund
<br />workforce. If you assume that cuts would not be made to either of these categories of
<br />positions, then that leaves 25% of our workforce. Assuming an average position cost of
<br />$50,000, we would have to eliminate 234 positions in the General Fund, or almost 75%
<br />of the remaining work force. In addition, cuts to some of those positions will result in
<br />lost revenue, which will in turn require further cuts. This would devastate the City’s
<br />ability to provide services and would create a downward spiral from which it would be
<br />difficult to recover.
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<br />Another way to look at the impact of cuts is by discretionary versus nondiscretionary
<br />costs. Over 47% of the City’s budget is comprised of nondiscretionary costs, such as
<br />debt service, local contribution to the School system, the Annual Required Contribution
<br />to the City pension plans, and our cost of regional services such as the Jail and HRT.
<br />Constitutional offices, Courts and the Assessor and Registrar’s offices make up 11% of
<br />the budget. Public safety is 24% of the budget, and 2% comes from fund balance to
<br />pay for CIP and the debt service sinking fund. In total, these nondiscretionary and high
<br />priority service costs represent 84% of the total General Fund budget. In order to cut
<br />our way out of the $11.7 million shortfall, we would have to cut 30% of the remaining
<br />budget costs, and as noted above, many of those have revenues tied to them.
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<br />One cut that City Council could consider is to reduce or eliminate tax relief for the
<br />elderly and disabled, which currently costs $1.7 million per year. However, I do not
<br />recommend this cut.
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<br />Other Revenue Increases
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<br />The City has few options for raising other revenues, particularly those that would
<br />generate millions of dollars. We could consider increasing the Personal Property tax
<br />rate, but that is a regressive tax that could disproportionately impact our most
<br />vulnerable residents. City Council increased the Cigarette Tax and the Motor Vehicle
<br />license fee last year. As noted earlier, this budget recommends some limited fee
<br />increases, but in total those will generate only around $100,000.
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<br />Use of General Fund Balance
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<br />This proposed budget eliminates the City’s dependence on the General Fund Balance
<br />for reoccurring operating expenses. The budget proposes to use $706,481 of Fund
<br />Balance to continue the debt service sinking fund, which partially funds a temporary
<br />increase in debt service costs between now and Fiscal Year 2021-2022. In addition,
<br />$3.9 million of fund balance is proposed to be used for one-time CIP expenditures.
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