The above .statement is without-_:proper regard for the provision in all the junior
<br />indebtedness contracts relating to ascertaining the 'present value' of these non-interest bearing obligations
<br />payable in the dLstant future; ostensibly February l, 1980, et seq. It must-also be noted that the project has
<br />to the present been financially successful, and hence the possibility of a somewhat earlier payment must be
<br />borne in mind. It wuuld .seem that this problem is not beyond solution if these factors are given appropriate
<br />weight:
<br /> (a)lThe obligations, while sincerely entered into, were loosely computed as
<br /> they did not represent 'hard money' in the minds of any of the contracting
<br /> parties, but rather were entered into in the spirit o£ being generously
<br /> computed as they were recognized as only problematical and at best payable
<br /> in 1980 or a later date.
<br /> (b) The Commission has worked diligently to promote its project for the~henefit
<br /> of .the community, and hence in furthering this community service the local
<br /> : gevernn~ents, who arethe payees .in the respective obligations, should co -
<br /> operate in zhe furtherance of the Elizabeth .Ri~er Tunnel Commission's
<br /> public.purposes.
<br /> (c) The.s~atement of mutual intentions with ~regard to ascertaining 'present
<br /> value~ of 'the respective ~obliEations shows in all events that if anticipated
<br /> prier to 1980 they .were not to be paid at par, but only at their commuted.
<br /> values.
<br /> From the above it can justly be argued that ~the debts should be valued in light of
<br /> the .spirit in which they were initially made; andtheir present value should be .computed in line with the~com
<br /> putation hereina~fter 'set forth; and lastly, regardless of the funds available, all the communities involved
<br /> should take a businesslike view toward the project itself and realize that it wiil serve our entire Elizabeth
<br /> River community to a profit far in excess of any amounts realized from the payment of these'obligations volun -
<br /> tartly assumed by the Commission. . -
<br />
<br />CONPUTATION OF PRESENT VALUE -
<br />
<br /> The computation of the 'present value' of the junior non-interest bearing .obliga -
<br />tions contemplated under th~ respective contracts is merely the calculation of the present value of a future
<br />dollar. For example, if we .assumed (a) an interest rate of 3½% semm-annually, .and thatthe obligations would
<br />not he paid until the first maturity of the present bond issue, i.e., February I, 1980, then_we would have a
<br />22 year period from February l, 1958, and on such.the present ~alue~'¥ould be 46.61069864 according to the
<br />Financial Compound Interest[and Annuity Tables, let. Ed. by Financial Publishing Company, Boston. If we ~as -
<br />sumed a 4% semi-annual {~,' ~idh 'i~ 'm0~e '~ea~i~{i6,' as it is unquestionably, the _probable rate we will have to
<br />pay for the money we would be using in accomplishing an early retirement of these debts, the present value
<br />would be 41~84007386. If the tunnel .paid- out five years earlier than initially anticipated, the factors for
<br />computing present value of a dollkr would become 55.44083869 at 3½% semivannually and 51.00281656 at 4%.
<br />Each earlier year of payment would progressively increase the present value of these non-lnterestbearing obli-
<br />gations.
<br /> '' I~ i~ 'impossible ~to say when the debts would actuslly ma~ure;~ as the Commission's
<br />own view of proper toll charges; future operation costs, the economic conditions of the _area; our community's
<br />growth and generalwell-bezng are imponderable factors. It follows_that any figur~ selected would bean arbi-
<br />trary one, hence for the purposes of attempting to find a'solution of thiis problem it is suggested that the flat
<br />sum of 50¢ on the dollar b~ accepted as a reasonable and fair round figure computation of the present value of
<br />$4,000,000. of obligations without priority of one over the other.
<br /> ' T~ i~'a certain unfairness ~o classify the 'third mortgage' debts with the two
<br />$2,000,000. obligations due Portsmouth and Norfolk County, as they wokld in due..course :have to stand aside until
<br />the $4~000,000. had been paid,. If weight is to he.given to this phase ~of the problem, it is suggested that if
<br />the$4,000,000, obligations~e re'ired at 509 on the dollar, then the other ~wo obligations be rezired at 45¢
<br />on the dollar.
<br /> If the rounded 'present dollar' computations suggested above are carried.out, we
<br /> find the junior obligations to be:
<br />
<br /> Due County of Norfolk on account of $2,000,000. obligation
<br /> due.it at 506 on the dollar present value
<br /> Due City of Portsmouth on account of $2,000,000.obligation
<br /> due it at 506 on the dollar present value
<br /> Due-City of Norfolk on account of its second junior 'obligation
<br /> of $649,666.27, at its present val~e ~of 45~ on the_dollar
<br />DUe ~i~y of .Portsmouth on account of its.seqond juniorobtigation
<br />of $491,227.68, at its present value of 45~ on the dollar
<br />
<br /> Total estimated p resent Value' ~f all junior obligations
<br />
<br />$1,000,000.
<br />1,000~000.
<br />.292,350.
<br />221,052.
<br />
<br />2,513,402.
<br />
<br />RECAPITULATION
<br />
<br />Amount needed for refinancing
<br />Minimum amount needed to build second tunnel
<br />Present value of junior obligations
<br />
<br />$ 18,890,610.
<br /> 23,613,000~
<br /> 2,513,~02.
<br />
<br />Total of Estimated Needed Funds
<br />
<br />$ 45,117,012.
<br />
<br /> Th~3above is mere%y a resIatemen~ of the foregoing paragraph entitled 'The Problem',
<br />namely, we have available $2,49~,390. to retire $5,140,894. of junior indebtednesses, which, even when broughi
<br />to a fair ~evaluation of their present worth we find the cash available $117,012. short.of the amount needed
<br />to fully discharge the s~m]e. Assuming this relatively small balance-can.be met by adjustments within the frame-
<br />work of the cost of the proposed new construction, it is nevertheless apparent that full co-operation fro~ the
<br />political subdivisions of the Elizabeth River commBnity must be had if this .neededproject is brought to a
<br />prompt fruition.
<br /> $UG6ESTED PLAN AND CONCLUSION
<br />
<br /> In order to realimtically work toward such an end, it is suggested:
<br />
<br />
<br />
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